Alex Gordon's career would be in less trouble if this really was all about service time

Alex Gordon's career would be in less trouble if this really was all about service time

You should believe two things about Alex Gordon's demotion to the minor leagues:

1. This is not primarily a ploy for the Royals to get an extra year before his free agency.

2. That truth is more damning of Gordon than his .198 batting average.

This one's on Gordon, not the Royals. It's boom or bust for him now -- Hurdle or Brett.

The move makes the Royals an easy target, of course, and sure. Their new leadership has taken the biggest payroll in franchise history and opened $250 million of stadium renovations with a possible 100-loss team, turning optimism and hope into anger and jokes.

So defending the current Royals leadership is not exactly defending the Roman Empire.

The service time is an obvious issue. The Royals probably can't delay Gordon's arbitration clock, but if he stays in the minors through the end of Omaha's season, it will delay his free agency a full year -- until after the 2013 season.

This is something teams often do to "steal" an extra year before free agency. Gordon will likely be a much better player in 2013 than he is right now, so if works out that way, it's smart business.

Except this isn't about hanging on to a future star as much as it is trying to prevent a future bust.

Whether it's the lasting impact of major hip surgery, the continuing struggle to adjust to big league pitching, or a wicked combination of both, Gordon is not a big league ballplayer right now.

If the Royals wanted to play the service time game, they would've kept him in the minors a few weeks back in 2007, when Gordon was a rookie and -- here's the point -- a much better prospect than he is right now.

If it was all about service time, they would've demoted him sometime early that summer, when he was hitting below .200 into mid-June. In retrospect, they probably should have.

He stayed in Kansas City because Royals executives didn't see or sense a drop in Gordon's self-confidence. That's different now, and this is the part that should be concerning to the team's front office and fans.

Gordon hadn't been on base in four games. He struck out nine times in his last 25 at bats. Defensively, he looked tentative, his reactions slow, his movements timid.

In short, he just hasn't looked like a big league ballplayer.

Why let him -- why force him -- to continue like that?

There are some around the Royals who wonder if the fun of baseball has been zapped for Gordon during this miserable summer, when it started with a painful injury, major surgery, and months of grueling rehab.

If those people are right and Gordon has lost some enjoyment of his life's obsession, then something had to happen.

It's nearly three full seasons after Gordon debuted to impossible expectations that he hasn't come close to meeting.

A hoped-for breakout season in 2009 was wiped out by the hip surgery, and a hoped-for positive second half never materialized.

There are smart people in baseball beginning the whispers about Gordon's star potential being more memory than reality.

A demotion to Omaha is a desperate move, which fits, because Gordon's situation is growing desperate, his career suddenly at a crossroads.

A significant part of the franchise's future hangs on Gordon being able to find his mojo in Omaha, the regain the swagger he hasn't had since being named Baseball America's minor league player of the year in 2006.

Because if that doesn't happen, he can't help the Royals -- no matter when he becomes a free agent.

Submitted by Sam Mellinger on August 18, 2009 - 9:26pm.
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Submitted by felix on August 22, 2009 - 3:06pm.

It is not Dayton Moore's fault that the previous GM chose Alex Gordon over Ryan Braun. You draft players from major baseball schools, Miami, USC, Arizona State, Texas, Cal State Fullerton, not Nebraska.

Submitted by ribman on August 20, 2009 - 9:04pm.

I know it's hard when you can't make up things w/o getting called up- but thanks anyway I'll stick around just to keep you honest-

thin skin man -grow a pair

Submitted by RoyalsRetro on August 20, 2009 - 12:59pm.

You could say that about a third of the guys currently on this roster.

John Sickels said it best when he pointed out that Gordon hit .287/.373/.525 over last August/September so why are those 118 plate appearances are less significant than his 110 plate appearances this year?

This organization does not understand sample size at all.

Submitted by ribman on August 19, 2009 - 5:32pm.

Mellinger sides with the Royals front office

Sam that press access pass is still looking good! I am nominating you for the courage in journalism award-no one tackles the big issues like you

Submitted by jtuck123 on August 20, 2009 - 6:03am.

I'd be even more stunned if you made a comment that was good...or maybe a comment that wasn't an "irrelevent rationalization"...Go yell at people on a Chiefs blog, we don't need people like you here...
JT

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Submitted by wdb12 on August 19, 2009 - 9:16am.

The truth in number 1 is more damning of the Royals front office than the current win-loss record.

Either Gordon is still recovering from an injury, in which case management made a poor decision in bringing him back right after the All-Star break, or they don't think Alex Gordon is a productive major leaguer. I lean towards the second because you said he's "not a big league ballplayer right now" and I'm assuming your info came straight from the Royals PR department. I make this assumption about the source of your info because if you had checked Fangraphs you would know that Gordon was a 2 WAR player in 2007 and 2008. Thus, objectively (one could argue with their calculations, formula, etc., but whatever) one respected organization has considered him a "big league ballplayer" for two years now.

I guess it's hard for me to imagine that an organization or a reporter can tell after 100 post-surgery at bats that he's not a big league ballplayer anymore when common sense would suggest he should be improving in his third year (at age 25).

So I lean toward:
1) He's still recovering from injury; or
2) This is the result of a PR campaign to disguise a service time move.

If I'm wrong, the front office has a real difficult time determining who is and isn't "a big league ballplayer".

Submitted by ribman on August 19, 2009 - 5:35pm.

That is insightful commentary- I think your points are much more on target than the host of this blog

but then again you just say what you think and leave the office politics out of it

Submitted by collinincalifornia on August 19, 2009 - 2:40pm.

How can you say Gordon is possibly done with the big leagues when he's had two respectable years already? Alex Rodriguez is having a down year (for him) and even now is only batting .257 -- a solid 45 points under his career average. Is he done with Baseball?

Granted, A-Roid is a much better player than Gordon, but just because he's having a down year after rushing back from a major surgery doesn't mean his passion and potential are gone.

I think this move is purely about service time and it's convenient b/c Gordon gave them an easy excuse to send him down.

Submitted by stpat on August 19, 2009 - 8:49am.

This is the right move. The mistake was bringing Alex back after he came off the DL. He should have stayed in the minors. They had the perfect reason to keep him there. Look at the struggles A-Rod has gone through after the same surgery. There was no way this kid was going to come back after this surgery and save this team's gawdawful offense, when he's never shown the ability at the major league level. That was foolish thinking. And this team was already in the tank for this season by the All-Star Break.

It sounds clear that he needs a oonfidence boost. For whatever reason, he doesn't seem to be taking the coaching that he's receiving to heart. Butler did and he's raking. There's no point in having a kid bang his head against the wall and further destroy what confidence he has left. Change the scenery.

I think it's academic that this move was made now. I've been the first to criticize the Royals for their bargain basement moves, putting money ahead of wins. But in this case, they can honestly say that they've given the kid EVERY opportunity at the major league level. Yes the Royals called him up too early, but that's past. He's had plenty of at-bats and he's simply failed to progress. So it makes sense that he'll spend the remainder of the O-Royals season in Omaha, about 21 days, and if this give DM a little extra time (2013) on the chance that he does turn out to be the great player we thought he was, then win-win. Moore can't come out & say that there is some validity to the timing of the move because the players union would file a greivance.

We should ALL hope that Alex, a homegrown Royals fan, can find his stroke and his passion for the game. We don't need another 1st Round 'sure-thing' go bust.

Submitted by BGramm69 on August 19, 2009 - 8:10am.

It's hilarious that we are talking about trying to get one more year out of a player who's hitting .198. Alex Gordon is 25 years old, he's been in a major league system for 3+ years now. Not only has he not advanced, he has regressed, as a baseball player. His bat looks slower, he looks MORE lost at the plate today than he did as a rookie, and his defense has remained stagnant.

I see no indications that the 2013 version of Alex Gordon will be any better than the 2009 version. I did love Moore's quote in the Star this morning though. We are sending Gordon down to the minors to work on his timing, because in the minors, things aren't quite as fast.

Brilliant. Work on your timing, at a place where the timing is different.

Submitted by dsmith84 on August 19, 2009 - 9:13am.

Because even if he ends up being major league average (his career OPS+ is still 95 after his nose-dive this year) we'll get a major league average player at lower cost for an additional season, and when your payroll is what a small market team can afford, you take what you can get.

Plus, why push it with Gordon when this season is lost anyway? We probably shouldn't have hurried him back after the all star break, too, since the season was lost then.

Submitted by curtisruder on August 19, 2009 - 8:08am.

Doesn't the fact that this timing was clearly the result of the free agency clock mute the impact somewhat? Who makes a roster move to activate a reliever who isn't even available for that game because he had pitched two innings the night before?

There haven't been ramifications for anyone for sucking all season? We have the same garbage bullpen that has been the worst in the league, and the only changes have been when they have been forced to admit injuries.

There haven't been ramifications for dropping popups my grandmother could have caught - and she's been dead for fifteen years. Callaspo will be out there playing second base this afternoon, I am sure. Last night, we just got lucky that Ramirez underestimated our incompetence. I'm sure he won't make that mistake again, and I'd also wager there's a better chance Guillen sits him for screwing up than that Hillman sits Callaspo.

The thing about it is that this has been the right move, but even when our management makes the right move, they do it in so blatant and deeply cynical a way that everyone can see that the money played a significant role. Yeah, Gordon hasn't played well, especially in the last week or so. And he hasn't developed into the player we expected. I am sure he knows that, but who would blame him for feeling like he was just jerked around to save some money?

Submitted by PubGuy on August 19, 2009 - 8:02am.

As a Nebraskan, I jumped back on the Royals bandwagon when they picked Alex Gordon. So I've been as perplexed as any one with his big league struggles. I'm disappointed with his demotion to AAA, but hopeful that it will benefit him the way it seems to have benefited Billy Butler. While I'm sure Alex will be in KC in September, I wouldn't be opposed to having him start next season in AAA looking for a call up after about a month.

I'm sure Omaha is excited about having Alex. Hopefully, feeling that fan love will bring back some of the confidence to an athlete that was the player of the year in both college baseball and the minor leagues.

Submitted by drewfuss on August 19, 2009 - 7:47am.

i guess they might not be able to put him back on the DL without causing a dispute, but if they think he is struggling that badly, they might as well just shut him down for the year, give him an off-season of working out or some time off, and start planning for next year. unfortunately, GMDM didn't start that whole process before the trading deadline.

Submitted by Felipe716 on August 19, 2009 - 7:01am.

All very true. It definitely makes you look at the ownership and management and wonder what they're thinking. When we have talent we trade it away. When we try to get talent, the guy busts. So I wonder, what is worse, the cripplingly low amount of money Glass spends, or the way Moore spends it? ..... What would do us better, a 10 million dollar boost in payroll, OR, a new general manager?

Submitted by jtuck123 on August 19, 2009 - 8:37am.

No offense, but I think you're wrong...Previous ownership and management of the Kansas City Royals traded away talent and got talent such as Alex Gordon, Chris Lubanski, and Luke Hochevar that were viewed as "busts". The new management is different. The new management has gotten the owner to spend more money on draft picks than any other team in the league. Yes, David Glass hasn't spent as much as other teams have on current payroll and the players that we've signed on that low amount of money for payroll have not been the best players. But I think the problem has been the lack of organizational depth (minor leagues) which is a direct result of signability in the draft. So, to answer your questions, neither a 10 million dollar payroll boost or a new general manager would do us better. We would need a much bigger payroll boost, but keep our current GM. I think Dayton has done well enough with the crap he's been given...
JT

Submitted by ribman on August 19, 2009 - 5:37pm.

we drafted all those guys -never traded for any of them- pklease do your homework before you make irrelevent rationalizations for the most incompetant team in sports today

Submitted by jtuck123 on August 20, 2009 - 5:58am.

Alright, knight in white shining armor, coming to save the day...Maybe you should read a post or two yourself. He said, "When we have talent we trade it away. When we try to get talent, the guy busts." Well, the draft is probably the biggest way to get talent that we don't already have. Did that ever occur to you?

Oh, before you go making demoralizing statements like, "pklease do your homework before you make irrelevent rationalizations for the most incompetant team in sports today" you might wanna go ahead and make yourself look a little smarter and SPELLCHECK! "Pklease"? (please). "Incompetant"? (incompetent). "Irrelevent"? (irrelevant).

Do you even know what an irrelevant rationalization is? That means that the point made has nothing to do with the previous comment. I would argue that it has everything to do with the previous comment, especially in light of what I said after that comment...Get a life...
JT

Submitted by ribman on August 20, 2009 - 9:06pm.

You are my life JT- you are my hero-

Submitted by wichitachiefsfan on August 19, 2009 - 8:42am.

I think you have to give them some credit for spending the money on draft picks and minor league development to be more on par with most of the other big league teams. The jury is probably still out on the results there.

My issue is with the choices DM has made with his signings at the MLB level. I wouldn't give him any more money until he shows he can sign people that are at least MLB average. (And that our manager can manage them properly.)

Submitted by jtuck123 on August 19, 2009 - 9:26am.

I think you're missing my point. Dayton Moore can't make players come to Kansas City if the players don't wanna come here. What does he have to offer them? A "chance to rebuild a dead team"? He had the chance to sign Torii Hunter and he actively pursued it. We had the largest contract in Royals history ready for him, but Torii wanted to play for a contender. In KC, I think it has less to do with money and more to do about the team. Heck, they couldn't even get freaking Andruw Jones to come and play for the Royals. We had a nice deal for him and he declined to play for the Dodgers. Next best was Guillen...When the owner says, "Here's some money to go out and get a FA veteran", you don't wait a couple years to grab Dunn or Burrell...He needed impact bat immediately. We shouldn't fault him for that.

Was Coco Crisp a bad deal? It looked good when we were winning, but suddenly, when we start losing, we decided to blame Dayton Moore for going out and getting him...makes a ton of sense there. Jacobs was a DH type hitter with a ton of slug. We traded a reliever THAT HADN'T EVEN PLAYED MUCH THE PREVIOUS YEAR for him. We paid a guy 4.5 million when he hit 37 homers the previous year. I'd say that's a steal. He didn't turn into that hitter at Kauffman and suddenly it's Dayton's fault.

If things are going good for the team, it's definitely the players that are to blame for winning. But when players don't perform up to expectation, it suddenly becomes the GM's fault. When was the last time you praised DM for trading away a felon for Brian Bannister? What about locking up Zack Greinke? What about signing Willie Bloomquist? Let's be consistant in our critiquing the Royals. If the GM does something right, recognize it. If the coach does something right, recognize it. (Good choice in pinch hitting Jacobs for Betancourt and getting the 3-run homer 2 days ago, just to name one...)
JT

Submitted by KoroSyndrome on August 20, 2009 - 8:07am.

Individually any of these things can be excused. When you put one on top of another-they can't be.

1)"Dayton Moore can't make players come to Kansas City if the players don't wanna come here."--This is his job. If he can't make players want to come here, then find someone who can.
2)Just because Moore can't pay for a good player doesn't mean he should give out the richest contract in Royals history to a subpar player. Guillen was a league average hitter who couldn't run or play defense. These things things were known at the time. No one who follows baseball is surprised with how things have turned out.
3)Crisp wasn't the worst deal. I'll give you that. The decision to add him while giving up something vs. adding someone w/o giving up something is puzzling. Why not keep Ramirez and pay for Abreu, Hudson, or Dunn--all of whom were cheaper and had better track records than Crisp? Surely, you'd rather have two good players than on fairly good one.
4)The Jacobs deal is, was, and has been from the very start, ridiculous. First off, he didn't hit 37 HR. Why pay $4.5 MM (only 500K less than Abreu got) for a player who is far inferior to Butler at defense and has been a league average hitter in an inferior league? We could have played Kila for a league min salary and spent that money elsewehere.

These are all terrible decisions and were known to be terrible at the time. You seem to be stuck in the mindframe of "Player A" is the best available (such as Guillen) or "Player B" is a little better than "Player C" so we won the trade (as in the Crisp and Jacobs deals). I'll be the first to admit I thought these deals were both good when they were first announced--for a couple of days. Then reality set in. What I ignored, and what you are ignoring is the concept of opportunity costs. This is a basic economic concept that you should have had drilled through your head at all levels of schooling. Instead of thinking "hey, Jacobs is better than Nunez" you should be thinking "hey, we could have Nunez, Kila, and Abreu" for roughly the same price.

Thinking of these decisions without weighing all of the costs and benefits is careless. That is why Moore has struggled. Clearly, there were better moves to be made at the time. Go read any comments by unbiased baseball analysts at the time of these deals. They were panned by everyone. When you make bad decisions, you end up with a bad team. When you support bad decisions like you are, then you are encouraging failing behavior.

Submitted by jtuck123 on August 20, 2009 - 10:48am.

Finally, a well thought out argument...Thank you for that...

1. Let's think through this one...Dayton Moore can polish the turd, change the color and make it look real good, but it's still a turd. This franchise for the last 15-20 years has been the turd. This is where over-paid veteran free agents come to get their last paycheck. (Juan Gonzalez, Reggie Sanders, Jose Guillen...) I'm not saying that Dayton Moore can't make it look enticing, I'm saying that DM doesn't have much to allure FA's with. It's his job, I completely understand that, but it's not an easy job, especially when your employed by the Kansas City Royals.

2. Yep, Guillen isn't who we needed him to be and he's everything that every other team thought he would be. Probably not DM's best move. However, in defense of DM, who else was there that year? As mentioned before, Torii Hunter was offered a HUGE contract and turned it down for a slightly bigger one in LA. Andruw Jones was given one as well, but turned it down for the NL side of LA...We needed that bat immediately and Jose Guillen was the best out there. Lots of baggage, bad attitude, but the dude hit the ball. 20HR/99RBI...it was better than Teahen in RF.

3. I agree with you...it would have been better to pick up one of those 3 guys than trade for Coco & Jacobs.

4. My error on the HR's. It was 32. Still a lot more than anyone else we had...And I also agree, KK would have been a better call up, but maybe DM thought he needed another year in the minors? Jacobs wasn't my favorite trade, but I can see the reasoning behind it.

As for the last point, I get the economic reasoning, but we don't know everything that happened in the front office. I know it's a lame excuse, but Dayton Moore seems to be a pretty smart guy. I'm gonna go ahead and say that he probably knows things about certain players that we can't have information on. Maybe the things he's done have been because of that, or maybe he's just a bad GM. I don't know, but until he's gone I'm gonna support him.
JT

Submitted by stpat on August 20, 2009 - 9:58am.

Koro,
I think you hit the nail on the head. Everytime I see the excuse (and this is not to single anyone out) that "we can't get players to come to KC" or "we can't get other teams to take our players in a trade" or that "this organization doesn't have the money to get good big league players" it drives me nuts. That's what Moore's job is. To FIND those players and teams and to make deals. But most importantly, it's to follow a philosophy and stick to it. I also understood the Crisp deal and thought it was a decent move. Not great or season changing, but decent. I never really understood the Jacobs trade but gave the benefit of the doubt because as JT mentions, Nunez just didn't play much and didn't appear to be someone that was worth holding onto. However, the money could have been spent better on the players you mentioned. Now some would say, that those players wouldn't come here, but that's a cop out. I think MOST players will go to whomever gives them the best deal. Moore's challenge in getting said players to come here is two fold. First, he has to sell his approach to rebuilding this team to the player to let them know that this organization is interested in putting winning first. And he has to get Glass to understand that he'll have to pay more than other teams to off-set the lack of competitive baseball in the near future.

I agree that we as fans and collectively as a ML baseball city, need to expect success. All too often we make excuses like 'small-market' and 'cheap owner'. The first step in achieving success is expecting it. I think Moore has the right philosophy in rebuilding the minors, but that's academic and certainly not some revelation that gets him off the hook for poor moves. On the other hand Moore has had some bad luck as well this year. What Moore CANNOT do is contradict himself by claiming he wants guys with good OBP (like he did last winter) and then get a guy like Mike Jacobs. Jacobs was a guy coming from the inferior NL where any novice knows that most likely his numbers were going to fall off in the American League and then expect that his 'power numbers' would offset his lack of BA or OBP. This is one area where Dayton needs to be criticized.

I'm not ready to give up on Dayton yet, but moves like Jacobs & Betancourt are not helping his credibility.

Submitted by jtuck123 on August 20, 2009 - 11:19am.

I agree with everything but the statement of, "I think MOST players will go to whomever gives them the best deal." I don't think that every player will go to a team just because the money is ample. I think every FA wants the money, but also wants to play for a winning team. I really don't think that Jose Guillen wanted to come here. But, we over-paid, he came and we lost a big bet...Anyway, I think winning has a lot more to do with it than we think. Hunter and Abreu went to a winning organization in LA (Angels). Andruw Jones and Orlando Hudson went to the other winning organization in LA (Dodgers). Dunn, like Guillen, chose the money in Washington.

A GM has to be good at selling his team to FA's. But, if he has nothing to sell, how can we expect the FA's to buy in to what we're doing?
JT

PS - When we expect success and success is not given, what do we do? Do we stop going to games? Do we stop watching on TV? I don't think expecting success is going to do anything for us as fans except put us in a bad mood when we don't achieve it.

Submitted by stpat on August 20, 2009 - 12:18pm.

First off, I used the qualifier "MOST" and capitalized it because of the point you make regarding players coming here. I'm aware that not "every" player will put money ahead of the opportunity to win.

Second, I will use 2 examples of fan bases that expect to win. One, Boston, has tons of money and therefore I will concede that there are other factors that go into how their management handles itself. The other is St. Louis, who is much more similar to KC. However, both have rabid fan bases that not only would scream bloody murder over the things we regularly debate (ownership & FA vs Minors)but they're vested in the baseball team to the point that ownership would never allow things to get to our level in the first place. Their fans EXPECT to succeed and DEMAND it. Ownership reciprocates because, among other reasons, they know that they would be skewered by a press & fan base that would not tolerate the kind of management we've endured here in KC. Now I know that the Royals 40 year history pales in comparision to these 2 'foundation' baseball franchises, but the fact remains that their ownership respects their fan bases (and their expectations) enough to make sure they are always putting winning first.

Our fan base can and has caused change. See Chiefs' regime change last December. I grant that changing the owner is much more difficult but the fan base can still affect change if it is united and committed. We've got to stop letting ownership poor-mouth itself for lack of success. This starts with the KC media digging deep to expose the financial situation of Glass & this team and running scathing articles in the Star to put the heat on him. The MEDIA, who represent us the fans, needs to do its job.

Submitted by jtuck123 on August 21, 2009 - 6:21am.

Alright...Got it now. I wasn't quite thinking of it like that, thanks...
JT

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