No need to fret: 2012 All-Star game still headed our way

No need to fret: 2012 All-Star game still headed our way

You may have seen a mention in Peter Gammons' blog the other day about MLB threatening to pull the 2012 All-Star game from Kansas City if the Royals sign a few draft picks for significantly more than the commissioner's slot recommendations.

It was almost an off-hand line trying to make a bigger point, but because Gammons is Gammons, the sentence has caused a bit of an underground scare around Royals fans.

Here's the relevent sentence:

If you are the Royals, not only are your revenues light, but the commissioner's office has threatened to take away your 2012 All-Star Game if you go ahead with the agreements you have in place with two high picks.

It's probably worth it to point out that while we've reported the 2012 All-Star game being in Kansas City as fact earlier this month, and that the next day Bud Selig all but confirmed it, the announcement has not been made, so the game is not officially official quite yet.

So anything remains possible. But everything I can gather says Gammons' scenario just won't happen, and there are a few reasons.

First, if this happened, the commissioner would have to acknowledge that there is a slotting system, the scope of which goes way beyond mere "recommendations."

Second, the commissioner knows the Royals aren't the problem here, that markets like Kansas City are not the reason that the money going to amateur draft picks has skyrocketed*.

* There are two sides to this, each with a compelling case. Neither will likely change the other side's mind. On the one hand, you have a growing group of people (including many established big leaguers) who think it's ridiculous for kids who haven't done anything to be paid like superstars.

Eric Hosmer last year made more money from the Royals than every player but Gil Meche and Jose Guillen. If Stephen Strasburg signs for $20 million, he will not only "settle" for less than half the ridiculous total put out there by Scott Boras' camp, but will make more money this year than every established big league superstar save five -- Alex Rodriguez, CC Sabathia, Johan Santana, Mark Teixeira and Manny Ramirez.

On the other hand, you have multiple studies that say the money teams spend signing draft picks often ends up being worth twice what a team could get in the free agent market, making it the most cost-effective way for any team to acquire talent.

Anyway, back to the point, the Royals would LOVE for there to be a strict slotting system that predetermines how much draft picks get paid, sort of like in the NBA.

That way, they could draft Rick Porcello or Matt Wieters or whoever else without regard to signability.

The Royals did, in a strange turn of events, benefit from the highly touted Tim Melville falling in last year's draft because of signability concerns. And they're poised to benefit again this year if they sign No. 12 overall pick Aaron Crow and third-rounder Wil Myers to what are expected to be above-slot deals.

But coming down on the Royals for spending too much on draft picks would be a bit like coming down on a struggling actress for getting herself surgically enhanced. You don't have to like it, but you do have to understand they're just trying to keep up.

For years, under owner David Glass' direction, the Royals tried to do the draft the commissioner's way. The results were terrible.

The results were passing up guys who had a 75 percent chance of turning out for guys who had a 25 percent chance simply because of money.

The results were after the fourth or fifth round drafting only mediocre prospects who would sign for $1,000 each.

There is a growing feeling among many in baseball that the new collective bargaining agreement (the current one is set to expire after the 2011 season) will include some sort of control on payments to draft picks.

Enough big league players want this anyway that it's bound to happen, so long as the owners give back something in return.

But in the meantime, there's nothing I'm hearing that makes it seem possible that MLB would pull the 2012 All-Star game just because the Royals paid a few draft picks extra money in an effort to keep up.

Submitted by Sam Mellinger on July 29, 2009 - 8:35am.
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Submitted by KC_Jake on July 29, 2009 - 1:30pm.

Yuni - Career BA- .276 OBP- .299 OPS- .689 Fielding - FPCT- .970 ZR- 6.029

Wilson - Career BA- .269 OBP- .311 OPS- .687
Fielding - FPCT- .978 ZR- 5.073

Yuni could become a nice hitter if he could walk a few more times, and he is 4 years younger.

Submitted by plivvy on July 29, 2009 - 12:13pm.

...though Jack Wilson isn't a fantastic hitting shortstop, he is, rightfully, touted as a defensive wizard. Not that this is a true indication of his abilities, but he leads Baseball Tonight's Web Gems scoreboard. Dude can play some D.
Paul L.

Submitted by southarkroyalfan on July 29, 2009 - 11:42am.

But I wonder if everyone in the baseball blogosphere will blast the Mariners for giving up a lot more than they got from the Royals in essentially re-acquiring Betancourt (Jack Wilson) and a AAAA pitcher. At the very least it makes what we gave up for Betancourt seem less horrible.

Submitted by dirkleisure on July 29, 2009 - 1:24pm.

pantsed the Royals on this one. They dumped a totally ineffective player with a lot of salary left and acquired a player with an OPS+ of 86 and above average defense.

The Royals waived Tony Pena so they could pick up Tony Pena with a big contract.

I'm fairly certain the Royals could have matched what the Mariners just gave for Jack Wilson and Ian Snell - a AAA first baseman, a player who compares favorable with Tony Pena, and three A ball pitchers.

Submitted by southarkroyalfan on July 29, 2009 - 6:09pm.

did $7 million over 2 years become "a lot of salary?" Not to mention that we are only paying 5 of that over the next two years. Clement will be a good offensive player. He alone is more valuable than what the Royals gave up.

Submitted by Sam Mellinger on July 29, 2009 - 12:25pm.

....is WAY better than Betancourt.

Submitted by southarkroyalfan on July 29, 2009 - 1:43pm.

No he's not. The last 3 years their OPS is .10 difference in Wilson's favor. Wilson is 32, Betancourt is 27. Wilson has a better defensive reputation, but who knows how much better he may actually be as a defender, and defensive metrics which are all based on subjective observations don't mean much. He may be better, but it is by a hair, and given how much more the Mariners gave up, it is not even close.

Submitted by Sam Mellinger on July 29, 2009 - 4:05pm.

...but I really don't see this as all that close.

Wilson is, according to UZR, the best defensive SS in baseball this year by a wide margin. Betancourt is, according to UZR, the worst defensive SS in baseball this year by a wide margin.

If the money was equal and the Royals traded Betancourt for Wilson straight up, it would be an absolute steal for the Royals. The Mariners just upgraded significantly at SS.

There's good reason the Mariners had to give up more to get Wilson than they got for giving up Betancourt.

Submitted by southarkroyalfan on July 29, 2009 - 6:23pm.

Offensive stats in and of themselves are not. Offensively they are pretty much the same player, only Betancourt is younger and signed for 2 years for less than Wilson's 2010 option. If the Mariners don't exercise that option they pretty much gave all those players away for nothing.

The Mariners traded one young shortstop for an old more expensive one. Given his age and that this will be the third year in a row Wilson won't see 500 AB, the Mariners have lost BIG on this if Wilson is not a lot better defensively when he does play, I'm talking Ozzie Smith v. Billy Butler at shortstop better.

Submitted by John Dockter on July 29, 2009 - 5:58pm.

...however, Betancourt has played on teams with better records while a full time starter.

Submitted by plivvy on July 29, 2009 - 5:45pm.

...why the Royals didn't try and trade for Wilson? I've always loved his defense. In fact, he's the defensive shortstop the Royals THINK TPJ is, plus he isn't horrendous with the bat. Really, he's the perfect shortstop for the 9 hole. Surely the Pirates would have taken Cortes and another prospect or two for Wilson (without Snell in the deal).
Paul L.

Submitted by Jaminrawk on July 29, 2009 - 11:40am.

The fact is, Bud Selig has enough people second guessing every decision he makes to do something so petty. The commissioner's office has no right to dictate to the Royals what they pay rookies. It would make more sense if Selig were coming down hard on teams like Detroit, San Francisco and Baltimore who have benefitted from "hard to sign" prospects. Anyway, it would also make Selig a liar for indicating that a major revamp to the stadium would get the All-Star game. Kansas City isn;t the problem with Major League baseball. Agents and the player's union have created the problem.

Submitted by TheScott on July 29, 2009 - 11:39am.

about KC getting the All-Star Game.

Yeah, it'd, obviously, be nice, but the one thing going right with the Rs -- and the one thing that keeps my faith in Dayton -- is our minor-league system, which is SO much better than it was before DM arrived.

The ML roster is a little frustrating (save for the starting rotation, which is the most important element), but we've got so many guys in the low levels who are really exciting. If it takes extra money and costs KC the ASG but results in two more studs in the system, then who cares?

And only Bud Selig (Mr. Rose: you cannot come in!; Ummm ... let's just call it a tie. What, steroids are hurting the game?) would hold this over a team's head. He's pure slime and sleeze and probably shakes like a girl.

Submitted by plivvy on July 29, 2009 - 10:04am.

If MLB pulled the All-Star game for the reasons discussed, and then Aaron Crow went K-Rod on everyone during September and October 2012 and the Royals won the World Series.
Paul L.

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