
Well, the last thing you probably need is another post about Yuniesky Betancourt. But here goes anyway.
You may have seen by now the report by Ken Rosenthal that the Red Sox are willing to eat virtually all of shortstop Julio Lugo's contract in a trade.
Lugo is making $9 million this season, and due $9 million next season, when he'll be 34. There is a reason that the Red Sox are this desperate, of course, and it has as much to do with Lugo's declining production as the nice surprise that Boston's had with Nick Green.
The Royals, you know, just gave up two minor league pitchers for Betancourt, 27, and are responsible for about $5 million over the next 2 1/2 seasons, plus either the $2 million buyout or $6 million club option for 2012.
Assuming Rosenthal's information is correct -- and is almost always is -- you might assume Betancourt is the better player.
You'd be wrong:
Lugo: .284/.352/.367, 0.59 WPA, -8.2 UZR.
Betancourt: .250/.278/.330, -0.64 WPA, -8.2 UZR.
Now, the difference here is that Betancourt is 27 (he turns 28 in January) and Lugo is 33 (he turns 34 in November).
But the fact remains that the Royals gave up more to get a shortstop who is producing less. Lugo is older, obviously, and maybe he's about to break down.
But would it be worth the chance to see if he could continue to be an average offensive shortstop with admittedly declining defensive value through the end of next season?
Again, if Rosenthal's information is correct, it would've cost the Royals virtually nothing. And if they really believe in minor leaguer Jeff Bianchi -- Dayton Moore yesterday compared Bianchi's development this year to what Kila Ka'aihue did last year -- they'd have a cheap and probably better replacement option ready by 2011.
The Royals' scouts -- and they're not the only ones who believe this -- think Betancourt still has the talent to be a good big league shortstop, the old change-of-scenery logic, and still see a potential Gold Glove shortstop.
Dayton is hearing the criticism. He went on 810 the other day to defend the Betancourt deal, and then during the workout yesterday went out of his way to point out that the Willie Bloomquist and Gil Meche deals -- also mostly criticized -- have worked out.
At this point, there just is no middle ground. Betancourt will either be motivated and happy and productive in his new environment, at which point Dayton and his people would be justified re-enacting Brock Lesnar's celebration from UFC 100.
But the Royals' front office better be right about this, because even though he didn't give up much, if Dayton is eventually fired without making a run at the postseason with the Royals, this Betancourt trade may very well be the moment we look back on where it all started to go wrong.


Betancourt
no matter who we bring in this season is dust, it's about looking ahead and spending limited resources smartly. We passed on several SS's in last 2 drafts, that are close to major league ready, why not address our SS crisis there and save our money for quality established players