(Un)earned struggles

(Un)earned struggles

Before we get started here, Billy Butler had a remarkable game last night, going 3-for-4 with three doubles.

Now, that's a heck of a night in any context, but because Billy hits in the middle of the Royals' lineup, he pulled off the feat of getting those three doubles without ever driving in a runner, or scoring himself.

Nobody's done that in more than two years, when Derrek Lee had four hits, including three doubles, without scoring in June 2007.

One interesting name on the list of guys with three or more extra-base hits in a game without scoring or driving in a run: Willie Bloomquist, who had three doubles in July 2005 in a game against -- wait for it -- the Royals.

Billy, by the way, is hitting .308/.344/.475 since June 4. Anybody else think we're starting to see a little emergence here?

OK, on with the team numbers, which means off with the good thoughts.

The Royals' starting rotation's 4.22 ERA is tied with Detroit's for the third-best in the American League, which, obviously, is pretty good.

Their bullpen's 4.43 ERA is 11th in the AL, which, you might notice, is not as good.

Overall, it's a 4.29 ERA, tied for 7th in the AL, which certainly isn't good enough for a team built on pitching, but also isn't terrible.

Here comes the crux of this post:

The Royals have surrendered 44 unearned runs* this season, which is the most in the American League. The Twins, not surprisingly, have given up an AL-fewest 17.

* Yes, I'm with you in thinking that this is an imperfect measurement of how good or bad a team's defense is. Joe Posnanski points out that all of Detroit's runs last night could be called "unearned." The numbers are still interesting...

Using the stathead rule of thumb that says every 10 runs is worth one win, that's nearly three wins already for a team that absolutely needs to be better in this category.

Give the Royals three wins, and they'd be 39-45 and seven games behind the Tigers. Not good, certainly, but also not quite the mess they are now. All just by playing better defense.

Figured a different way, the Royals are an OK 6th in fewest earned runs surrendered. They are 10th in total runs surrendered.

If they'd matched the Twins' total of unearned runs surrendered, the Royals would rank 2nd in fewest runs given up.

Submitted by Sam Mellinger on July 9, 2009 - 6:46am.
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Submitted by JoakimTough on July 11, 2009 - 2:25pm.

...is a bad player. In fact, he's one of the worst regulars in baseball this year. He can't hit, he can't play defense, he doesn't draw a walk and by all accounts he's not much of a worker either. Good guy to give up one of your top pitching prospects and another one to boot for.

Submitted by plivvy on July 10, 2009 - 2:21pm.

Are you kidding? Are you telling me the Pirates wouldn't have taken our top pitching prospect for Jack Wilson, or at least we could have thrown in another couple of somewhat compitent minor leaguers to snag Wilson? This makes me sad. What makes me even more sad is that he is an upgrade of our other shortstops offensively and he's still not league average. Thanks for trying Dayton, but next time try a little harder.
Paul L.

Submitted by jtuck123 on July 11, 2009 - 10:02am.

Dude, you gotta take this trade for what it's worth. We traded Dan Cortez, who Royals scouts say hasn't got the mental part of the game down, for a serviceable shortstop. Tony Pena is not a serviceable shortstop. Luiz Hernandez is not a serviceable shortstop. Last year the Royals were talking about Billy Butler for Betancourt, so I think we got the better end of the deal.

What's not league average about Betancourt? He's hitting .280 for his career. He doesn't take many walks, but he doesn't strikeout much either. He has an average OBP with little SLG so his OPS looks too small, but he's not a bad player. He opens up the lineup a little more though. No longer will the last 3 outs be easy. It's not gonna be Hernandez, TPJ, Maier. I think this trade will eventually work out for the Royals until we can get a farm grown product up there...
JT

Submitted by JoakimTough on July 10, 2009 - 1:56pm.

Two things:

One, its T-E-A-H-E-N. Spell it right.

Two, Gordon had a 110 OPS+ last season meaning he was 10% better than league average, which in my book means he was an above average hitter last year. People look at his 21 at bats this season and assume that's all he's done. He's developed slower than we all would have liked, but he is an above average hitter already.

Submitted by jcblue36 on July 9, 2009 - 12:59pm.

Jacobs 78 SO's; 74 Gms; .223 avg
Teahan 66 SO's; 82 Gms; .284 avg

Give me Teahan.

Submitted by jcblue36 on July 9, 2009 - 10:15am.

I'll believe Gordon is a big league hitter when he proves it. You have to admit that he has not lived up to his AA season in the bigs.

I also think DeJesus is hitting better as lead off than he was as a #2, but I may be wrong. I'm not a stat geek like some others.

I'm still a believer, but I am losing my over the top optimism. I'm still looking forward to 2010 and beyond as the years we get back to where we all want to be.

See you at the ballpark.

Submitted by dsmith84 on July 9, 2009 - 10:07am.

of Billy's last night... too bad nobody infront of or behind him could get on base... if you have one of the people infront of or behind him get a hit each time, that is a different ball game...

Submitted by lakewoodroyal on July 9, 2009 - 7:48am.

If that is what it takes for Butler to get his swing back, I'll take it. I just hope this is not the pinnacle of his power in the bigs. His slug pct is up which is good. When you hit in the middle of the Royals order, though, you have to save yourself - long ball.

Submitted by jtuck123 on July 9, 2009 - 9:45am.

I almost want to take the doubles over the home run...I think a doubles hitter coupled with a big stick is a killer tandem. Butler and Gordon (when he gets back) might just be that tandem. Gordon's been killing the ball in AAA...
JT

Submitted by Bob1478 on July 9, 2009 - 11:57am.

Not to be picky or anything but Gordon has only played one game in AAA. His first rehab games were in A ball and now he's in AA with Northwest Arkansas. He was 1-3 with two walks in his AAA game. He has played well in his rehab so far. Hopefully he'll come back ready to go after the break. Go Royals!

Submitted by dsmith84 on July 9, 2009 - 10:12am.

Gordon is no Mitch Maier, but Mitch was killing the ball in AAA too...

Submitted by jtuck123 on July 9, 2009 - 11:48am.

Have you ever noticed how he chops at the ball sometimes...it's almost as if he's trying to swing down on the ball...That won't do you any good in any league. He needs to get a more level swing and be a little more patient...I think I've seen him strikeout more than Mark "The Strikeout King" Teahen...
JT

Submitted by plivvy on July 9, 2009 - 2:38pm.

... Mark does strikeout a bit more. However, in Mark's defense he does make better contact when he does make contact.

Mark Teahen - 1 strikeout per 4.485 AB
Mitch Maier - 1 strikeout per 4.55 AB

Mark Teahen - .284/.344/.439
Mitch Maier - .212/.291/.311

So Mitch almost strikes out as much as Teahen, but Teahen dominates in every other category.
Paul L.

Submitted by Otis26 on July 11, 2009 - 12:36pm.

he's Mark Teahen. If anyone had expectations of Mitch Maier this year then they were looking a little deeper than most.

On the other hand, Teahen has been a regular major-leaguer for a number of years...and no matter how hard he tries he's still...Mark Teahen.

I've said it many times. He's a great backup on a championship caliber team...but a quality every-day player who will help you get to the playoffs he is not.

Trade him now while he has some value.

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