Trey, one more time

Trey, one more time

(UPDATE: Trey didn't do himself any favors by putting his $55 million pitcher out for the 6th inning when he's coming off a dead arm with 99 pitches.)

OK, one more quick try on the Trey thing, because I'm clearly not articulating myself well, then we're going Trey-less for a while, because this is getting tired.

Some think citing the long list of injuries is an excuse. I think putting it all on the manager is an excuse.

My basic point is that calling for Trey to be fired now is premature and misses some bigger points. Unless something drastic happens, he deserves at least until the end of this season.

Saying a guy shouldn't be fired right now is not the same thing as saying he's doing a great job and everyone should just back off.

If things keep going this way, like has been mentioned on this blog before, Trey's job will be in question.

There are enough legitimate questions about his impact, his ability to keep a team together, in-game decisions, all that stuff.

If the Royals continue anything like they're going now, the problems they're having now will be multiplied and joined by new and bigger problems. The questions about Dayton Moore -- who I still think has done a good job -- will get louder and more legitimate.

But to fire Trey now would be silly and reactionary and, more to the point, just isn't going to happen.

Submitted by Sam Mellinger on July 1, 2009 - 8:20am.
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Submitted by wichitachiefsfan on July 2, 2009 - 9:53am.

Sam, IMHO you articulate yourself quite well and I appreciate your comments and blogging. Personally, I agree with most of what you say, and at this point, think you should get some kind of "hazard" pay for having to watch this Royals stuff for a living!

Submitted by ribman on July 1, 2009 - 7:15pm.

For years you guys have avoided criticizing a franchise run horribly wrong. You keep finding ways to apologize and excuse Hillman and you can't really identify anything he's doing right. You use the injuries to justify the bad season (John Buck is pushing it) but you fail to examine how much the organization and Hillman are to blame for the injuries. You've read the recent articles on Nick Swartz- you're not blind. How many times have the Royals played an injured player insisting he play hurt and he got worse just this year. Aviles-Crisp-Soria-Gordon maybe-
You keep saying Meche's 132 pitch outing has nothing to do with his following performances becuase he's pitched well with 120+ pitch outings historically- ok but 120 is not 132 is it- what about BP's pitcher abuse points? what about Meche throwing the 2nd most pitches in baseball this year? What about Hillmans pushing for CG's? there is a pattern here and today's game is right there (not only was it insane to go 121 pitches with a guy with a dead arm but he has 2 right handers warming up with Twins left hand batter due)

He uses his bullpen poorly and strangely- does not believe in plattoon advantage
He uses pinch runners for his 4th AND 5th hitters in the same 6th ing
His team is horrible fundamentally- fielding and base running- Dave Owen is there because he's a Hillman buddy and is a joke
This is one of the most poorly constructed teams I can recall- You have 4 guys on your bench and 3 of them are TP Jr Tug Hulett and Leo Hernandez? Yes GM gets some blame here but Hillman consistently has talked about what he wanted on his bench-?
Lost the clubhouse last year and I don't think he's respected this year
complete inconsistncy in his philosophy- makes a passioned case for something and next day abandons it (pitcher batting 8th)
"Bat head" and "square up" nuf said

Hillman isn't the main problem with the Royals but he is a problem and is not equipped to manage in MLB- quit enabling this embarrassment of a team and hold them accountable for the crap they sell us as a major league baseball team

You tell me what does Trey Hillman do well?
You and the namby pamby suck up to the big league team sports writers have failed the fans in the last 20 years as much as the team has.

Submitted by jtuck123 on July 2, 2009 - 8:31am.

Did your mommy beat you when you were but a wee child? Did the big boys bully you when you were a kid? Do you realize that your huge cry fest here makes little to no sense?

First two sentences of your idiotic rant read like this, "For years you guys have avoided criticizing a franchise run horribly wrong. You keep finding ways to apologize and excuse Hillman and you can't really identify anything he's doing right." - Who really runs this franchise? Oh...that's right, it is in fact Trey Hillman! He calls all the shots. I even overheard him talking to Swartz about making sure Aviles got on the DL this year no matter what. I'm pretty sure that Dayton Moore is just a cover for Trey to ascend to his proper place as Supreme Ruler of the Universe! If you're going to get mad about some personnel, make sure you aim your anger correctly...

"You use the injuries to justify the bad season (John Buck is pushing it) but you fail to examine how much the organization and Hillman are to blame for the injuries." - I've commented on this before, when players don't tell the management that they are hurt, how can you blame management? The Royals have had extreme bad luck this year with the DL. Gordon, Soria, Ponson, Crisp, Aviles, Buck, etc...And because of that, we've been playing with players that can't even be considered replacements. I'd use injuries to justify a bad season, especially when you have 6+ starters go out...

"You keep saying Meche's 132 pitch outing has nothing to do with his following performances becuase he's pitched well with 120+ pitch outings historically- ok but 120 is not 132 is it- what about BP's pitcher abuse points? what about Meche throwing the 2nd most pitches in baseball this year? What about Hillmans pushing for CG's?" - Well, Meche pitched well yesterday didn't he? He threw 132 pitches in his last start and followed it with another start of 121...He had a quality start! If the Royals would have won yesterday, would we be having this discussion? Probably not! What about Meche throwing the 2nd most pitches in baseball this year? What's wrong with that? Knowing the way Meche has worked earlier this year, he makes decisions on whether or not he pitches more innings.

Hillman pushing for more CG's? Can I get a reasonable explanation for that comment? I haven't once heard Trey say anything about making his pitchers pitch 9 innings. When Luke Hochevar can pitch a complete game on 80 freaking pitches, I would push for a 80 pitch complete game too!

Here's the list of Greinke's CG's with pitch count:
1. April 18th - 115 pitches
2. April 24th - 108 pitches
3. May 4th - 104 pitches
4. May 9th - 115 pitches
5. May 26th (my birthday!) - 116 pitches
Now, are you telling me that the 6 CG's that we've had this year is pushing our pitchers too much? Do you realize that these pitch count totals are very low for a CG? And yet, you say that Hillman is "pushing" the CG?

"not only was it insane to go 121 pitches with a guy with a dead arm but he has 2 right handers warming up with Twins left hand batter due" - Dead arm? What dead arm? If you have a "dead arm" and can throw your fastball at 94mph in the 6th inning after 100+ pitches, then you must be a god...Plus, the stats don't lie, Robinson Tejeda this year hasn't given up a single run to a left-handed batter, but I'm sure you knew that. I'm also sure that you knew that Juan Cruz, Jamie Wright and Roman Colon the other probable right-handers warming in the pen with Tejeda, actually pitch as well or better against lefties too...But, again, you probably already knew that...

"Yes GM gets some blame here but Hillman consistently has talked about what he wanted on his bench-?" - Yeah, and tell me what MLB manager would go to their GM and say, "Hey, I want these three guys on my bench at all times."? It doesn't matter who Trey Hillman wants on his bench, if GMDM can't get the players here, Trey's S.O.L.

"Hillman isn't the main problem with the Royals but he is a problem and is not equipped to manage in MLB- quit enabling this embarrassment of a team and hold them accountable for the crap they sell us as a major league baseball team

You tell me what does Trey Hillman do well?
You and the namby pamby suck up to the big league team sports writers have failed the fans in the last 20 years as much as the team has."
- Listen man, I really don't understand what you're trying to say. First you tell us that Hillman isn't the main problem, but then your entire displaced rage is aimed right at Trey's fumanchu/handlebar moustache.

"Quit enabling this embarrassment of a team"...Yeah, you're right on this one. Sam, you need to quit your job. You too, Dutton. You guys at the Star just need to quit writing articles about how this team could be getting better. You're the problem guys. If you all didn't "enable" this team, they wouldn't be as bad. You need to write more articles about everyone on the 40 man roster sucking all the time. After that's written, you need to bash on Moore and Hillman. And after you're done bashing those two, you should probably go ahead and call up David Glass and let him know that, one, he's "enabling" this team, and two, he's the worst owner of a baseball team in the history of owning baseball teams, right? Is that what we're supposed to do ribman? How about you go ahead and write all the articles about this "embarrassment" of a team and tell us how bad this organization is. I'm sure you know pretty much everything that's going on up there. I'm sure David and Dan Glass are sitting right next to you sipping a gin and tonic as you are reading this. Go ahead, be the armchair GM, coach or player. But next time you think about writing a lousy post on a blog dissing players, coaches, managers and sports writers, make sure that your anger is aimed the right way and have a proof reader do some work...Fans like you make me sick...

JT

Submitted by ribman on July 2, 2009 - 7:41pm.

I am not going to rebut the multitude of made up things and wrong conclusions you threw out there hoping it would stick-just not going there with someone who isn't going to look at reality. I may make you sick but sadly it's fans like you that deserves the team you get.
The Royals are an embarassment to the city- from the owner to the manager to the players.

My family has been a season ticket holder since 1969 and I'm tired of hearing the same old bs from them, from writers afraid to offend the team (afterall banning is the new thing) and from apologist fans who think it's 1955. You don't like what I say - that's cool but I'm going to keep saying it because guys like Mellinger won't- there are others who will say it and many more who'se delicate sensibilites won't be hurt by someone saying what they think.

Get over yourself -guys like you don't have much pull with anyone

Submitted by jtuck123 on July 3, 2009 - 9:56am.

"I am not going to rebut the multitude of made up things and wrong conclusions you threw out there hoping it would stick-just not going there with someone who isn't going to look at reality." - Alrighty then. Go ahead and look up all the stats I threw out there and check them. Pick your website. SI.com, MLB.com, baseballprospectus.com. Everything I threw out there was completely factual. I believe your problem was that it did stick and you were offended. I look at reality all the time, my friend. The Royals are not a very good team, I understand that reality, but the "conclusions", if that's what you want to call them, that you drew were a little out of line, IMHO.

"You don't like what I say - that's cool but I'm going to keep saying it because guys like Mellinger won't- there are others who will say it and many more who'se delicate sensibilites won't be hurt by someone saying what they think." - Totally displaced anger...and you say all that as if something you say will change the world...write a letter to the President or Bud Selig or Santa Claus for all we care. Just leave your hatred out of here...

"Get over yourself -guys like you don't have much pull with anyone" - But I'm sure that guys like you have a ton of pull with everyone...

We need all the optimism we can get here in KC, so, not to be cliche, but, "if you don't have anything good to say, don't say anything at all"...
JT

Submitted by ribman on July 3, 2009 - 9:07pm.

http://kansascity.royals.mlb.com/stats/sortable_player_stats.jsp?c_id=kc&baseballScope=KCA&teamPosCode=all&statType=2&timeSubFrame=2009&sitSplit=lb&venueID=&Submit=Submit&timeFrame=1

Submitted by ribman on July 3, 2009 - 9:06pm.

Robinson Tejada vs LH batters 2009
10.2 ings 6.72 era 14 walks 2 hit batters (updating for tonights game)

R Colon 4.2 ings 9.64 era

now granted statistics can be used in many ways and you clearly did that- the other factors which you failed to consider are
how extreme are the batters splits?
the sample size - even if these 2 had great numbers this year AND THEY DON'T that would still not mean as much as their career splits- a trend of a few ings is better than a few at bats but pitchers generally reveal their strengths and weaknesses
also you could have looked at the Royals lh pitching options Bale and Mahay- we know SABR Trey has already gone on the record identifying Mahay as equally effective vs RH-LH batters (he's actually wrong -slight advantage vs LH) and he loves John Bale- so
John Bale of course has been horrible vs LH batters in a small sample size, outside of Soria our most effective pitcher vs lefties has been -drum roll please-----Mahay

anyway that was your argument but you went with the made up number thing so good luck to you buddy keep crying about what people think and consider a run for mayor

Submitted by bfos7215 on July 1, 2009 - 2:54pm.

And the harshest thing you can say about that is that Trey didn't do himself any favors? Could you please just say what we all know and call it out for being stupid...(and this time saying "stupid" would be literal).

Submitted by TheWiz on July 1, 2009 - 2:39pm.

for manager,now. Trade Teahen and Jacobs, bring up Ka'aihue. Start a new nucleus with Zack, Billy, Luke, Joakim.

Submitted by plivvy on July 1, 2009 - 2:37pm.

...Sam, you may as well give up, people are going to be offended no matter how eloquently you put your argument. I would consider myself one of Trey's biggest critics, particularly based on his saying that he learned a lot from last year, and clearly he hasn't learned a ton from a fan's perspective. With that being said, there is most certainly a difference between criticism (which according to you is fine and our prerogative) and backing off completely (which you tried to make clear that you don't expect people to do). Just because someone is perfect (shocker!) doesn't mean they deserve to be fired, which is clearly the point of your post arguing that people are making poor arguments for Trey to be fired. It's easy to be an armchair coach when we don't see the big picture.
Paul L.

Submitted by curtisruder on July 1, 2009 - 2:01pm.

Today you say, "saying a guy shouldn't be fired right now is not the same thing as saying he's doing a great job and everyone should just back off."

Yesterday, the title of one of your posts was basically that people arguing he should be fired are stupid.

You can't have it both ways. If we are stupid and silly and reactionary, then shouldn't we back off?

The point is not that it just isn't going to happen. There are only a couple of people in the world affecting if it is going to happen, and I certainly hope they are doing more productive things than commenting here. None of us commenters or e-mailers have any control over what is "going to happen." We get to debate what we think should happen. Which is something that your little snark completely avoids.

I don't think the injuries are on the manager. I do think when 90% of your players are underperforming expectations, then you have to look at the manager. I do think you have to look at ridiculous tactical decisions in the middle of games.

The thing that ticks me off more than anything about this post is I agree with you on the merits. I don't think Hillman should be canned until the end of the season. Though I do think he ought to be then unless something very different happens in the next three months. I am not offended at you saying he shouldn't be canned. But I am offended at being called silly and stupid and then not having the substance of the argument addressed because you get to talk to the people who make decisions and I don't.

Submitted by cpass on July 1, 2009 - 3:50pm.

I don't think that 90% are underperforming expectations. I think it's more like 10%. The other 90% are performing right at expectations. Yes, I'm serious. That's how bad this group of players is. This is EXACTLY what we should have expected, given how many of the opening day starters are out for extended periods of time if not the entire season, and they're being replaced by - well, replacement-level players. Or worse. No manager should be judged by his results with this gang; it's not fair to the manager.

As for Meche...well, I suppose he told Trey he felt fine and could go another inning, and Trey generally listens to him. But this is one of those times he should have taken the decision into his own hands and pulled him anyway. There are no more off days until the All Star break and going easy on him just makes sense on a day when he clearly wasn't going to win.

Submitted by curtisruder on July 1, 2009 - 7:57pm.

Mike Jacobs has been below expectations. We knew his OBP was bad, but it has been worse than advertised. Dude did hit 32 bombs last year.

David DeJesus has been below expectations.

Tony Pena, Jr., who had no expectations, has still been below them, which is quite the feat.

Juan Cruz has been below expectations. Mahay has been below expectations.

Mike Aviles and Coco Crisp were below expectations, due to injury. Soria, too, for that matter.

Davies has been below expectations.

I don't think I came into the season with unreasonable thoughts about these guys, and they have all fallen well short of what we expected. Maybe it isn't 90%, but it is enough that it needs to be looked at seriously.

Who has met or exceeded expectations? Greinke and Butler among the guys we needed to have big years. Meche, too, I would say, though he has been more inconsistent due to his health issues. The catchers. And then role players like Bloomquist, Callaspo, and Maier.

Submitted by Sam Mellinger on July 1, 2009 - 2:38pm.

....not meant to be taken literally, but that's my fault for writing it that way.

I see the same stuff everyone else is seeing. My point the other day -- what I should've made more clear -- is that firing him right now is reactionary. Once the season ends, decisions need to be made. There are obviously enough arguments against him right now (and a few more today than before this game started).

I'm not trying to offend you or rub your nose in some access that I get because of this silly job I have where I write about baseball and checks keep coming every few weeks.

I also hope this is always a place where any of us can disagree with anybody else, and nobody takes offense or makes personal attacks.

In summation, Kumbaya.

Submitted by bfos7215 on July 1, 2009 - 2:50pm.

Well, the admission that you made a big mistake with your headline should be in another post, not in a comment reply. I'm not really sure what you mean by it was not to be taken literally. But, either way, it was an absurdly harsh thing to say about people who care about the Royals and aren't being, in any way, unreasonable in their evaluation of Trey.

Submitted by MarkLaFlamme on July 1, 2009 - 1:53pm.

Another God-like pronouncement from Sam declaring that we are all wrong and he is the rightful heir to Joe Posnanski's wisdom. Thanks for setting us all straight.

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