One of the things I like about this blog is hearing the opinions of Royals fans. The conversations on here, almost without exception, have been civil and intelligent. Thanks for that.
That said, I gotta admit surprise about what looks like a minor movement to trade Billy Butler.
Butler has his weaknesses, we all know that. He's still primarily "just" a DH (though when he's played in the field, he's yet to really kill the Royals), he's had some Emil moments on the bases, and, this year, hasn't been getting many extra base hits.
Now, perhaps the most compelling reason not to trade Butler is that the other teams have scouts, too, and those scouts see all these same issues and will adjust their teams' offers accordingly.
Most midseason trades are done for one team to get immediate help, and it's tough to see a contender (especially in the NL) viewing Butler as immediate help.
The other part of this the sentiment seems to be bordering on giving up on a guy who very recently was considered a cornerstone.
Butler won two batting titles in three full minor league seasons (finished second the other time) and was widely considered a better hitting prospect than Alex Gordon.
Butler's played in 148 big league games, and speaking of Gordon, here are both players' stats through their first 148 games:
Butler: .284 avg, .344 obp, .408 slg, 752 ops, 70 RBIs
Gordon: .248 avg, .315 obp, .413 slg, 728 ops, 59 RBIs
If you believe at all in scouting, Butler's power will come. Scouts mostly agree he could develop into a 25-homer, 40-doubles guy, with a chance to win a batting title.
If you believe at all in track record, his power will come. He slugged .561 in 1,532 minor league at bats, including about .550 in 304 at bats in Omaha.
The Royals aren't in a position where they can give up on a prospect who doesn't immediately become Albert Pujols.
They're not all Joakim Soria, getting to the big leagues and immediately dominating.
Butler has, right now, about one full season's worth of big league at bats with a 97 OPS+ (Gordon's is 94 in his career and 106 this year and he's hitting third). Butler isn't setting the league on fire, but he's also 22 years old.
Butler is certainly not untouchable, the Royals aren't in a place where anyone can be truly untouchable.
Here are three reasons for not trading Butler:
1. His trade value is likely diminished after just being sent down to Omaha, and for the lack of extra-base hits.
2. The guy didn't just forget to hit in the last year.
3. The Royals don't have much offense in their minor league system.
3. The Royals rank second-to-last in the American League in runs, ahead of only the Richie Sexson Mariners, and it doesn't make sense for a team desperate for offense to trade a guy who just one year ago was considered one of the best hitting prospects in baseball.
That sentence was way too long. This blog needs a copy editor.


I have short of 50 years of following baseball, so I'm still a punk at this.
I just guess that Billy Ray Bob, (BUBBA) Butler will not make it into the HOF on the first ballot. He will spill the milk and leave cookie crumbs that will upset the sportswriters to no end.
Should be a lock on the second ballot though.